FEATURE | “It’s the steel production, stupid!”

Chinese imports of iron ore keep falling, while its crude steel production keeps growing, according to data compiled by BIMCO. China’s increased use of scrap metal for its production of crude steel is fundamentally critical to the dry bulk shipping industry. Mostly Capesize ships are impacted by this, way beyond the temporary iron ore export disruptions in Brazil and Australia.

OPINION | Trade tensions and rising risks lead to slowing growth

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised down its predictions for global growth in 2019 and 2020. It forecasts growth to be 3.5 per cent in 2019 and 3.6 per cent in 2020. This means a dampening of global growth over the next two years, as growth in 2018 is estimated to be 3.7 per cent The slowdown will affect both advanced and emerging economies.

OPINION | Trade war cease-fire is good news for the dry bulk sector

Following an almost total halt in exports of soya beans to China in the last quarter of 2018, the new year has brought new hopes for American farmers and the dry bulk shipping sector. The USDA reported that in the first four weeks of 2019 754,609 tonnes of soya beans were ready to be shipped in China, up from only 25,347 tonnes in December.

FEATURE | US container imports break records but uncertainty lies ahead

Container imports on both the US East Coast (USEC) and West Coast (USWC) had a strong year in 2018, growing 3.7 per cent and 8 per cent respectively in the first 11 months of the year compared to the same period in 2017. Record high levels of inbound laden containers were experienced on both coasts in October with the USWC at 1.09 million TEU and the USEC at 0.91 million TEU according to data from BIMCO.

OPINION: Macroeconomics: Labour market tightens but inflation remains subdued around the globe

BIMCO reported in our previous macroeconomics report in April 2017 that monthly indicators were showing a strengthening in the global economy. The firm growth dynamics in advanced economies have now, four months later, had a cascade effect on some emerging markets and developing economies (EMDE). This solid growth has sparked an appetite for EMDE assets and indicates that the market expects a pickup.

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